Friday 30th October

Update on COVID-19 growth trends in Spain the numbers of COVID-19 hospital admissions continue to rise. The rate of new admissions in Madrid is rising but its hospital bed occupancy for COVID patients has fallen slightly – 18.85% of hospital beds have Covid patients today, compared with 19.59% last week.In the Valencian Community, the number of COVID-19 hospital admissions has risen to 10.89%, from 7.62% last week; this is lower than the average for Spain, which has risen to 14.73%, from 12.11% last week.

Ximo Puig announced today, a seven day perimeter closure of the Valencian Community where the entry and exit of people is restricted.El Pais published a graphic yesterday (link below), showing the relative performances of the autonomous communities.

The VC looks better than most, but the uptick in the past week is worrying.Closer to home, the GVA site reports that new cases in Javea have risen again, with 15 new cases in the past two weeks, compared with last week’s corresponding number of 10. The GVA has reported two, work-related, outbreaks in Javea this week – these are the first outbreaks since July. Denia’s numbers have risen this week – 45 new cases in the past two weeks compared with last week’s corresponding number of 19.The UK’s hospital admissions continue to rise rapidly. The graphs for France, Italy and the Netherlands use Worldometer figures. The Worldometer numbers include both hospital new cases and community testing so they are showing a more pessimistic trend than what is actually happening with their hospital admissions.

.Stay safe and have a good weekend.John Wilson

Data sources:El Pais new cases in the regions: https://elpais.com/politica/2020/10/28/actualidad/1603897803_455086.htmlDaily Spanish Government data is posted here: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/situacionActual.htmToday’s Spanish Govt. report here: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov/documentos/Actualizacion_240_COVID-19.pdfGVA Valencian Community daily press releases here: https://www.gva.es/es/inicio/area_de_prensaGVA Valencian Community data dashboard:http://coronavirus.san.gva.es/es/estadisticas?fbclid=IwAR3GQZ1xFAKDldb0qfJtbODQvEFChBzTjTHPWMuQ4SP0_hb6xHiZAtnm4m8Daily Spanish newspaper commentary: https://english.elpais.com/UK COVID-19 daily report: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare and https://beta.isdscotland.org/find-publications-and-data/population-health/covid-19/covid-19-statistical-report/Worldometer: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countriesBackground & explanation of what the “cases per 1000 beds” graphs mean:https://www.facebook.com/groups/jaspas/permalink/3112648712130524/Population, Eurostat:https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Population_and_population_change_statistics#EU-28_population_continues_to_growPopulation of Spain’s autonomous communities:https://www.statista.com/statistics/445549/population-of-spain-by-autonomous-community/Hospital Beds, Eurostat (Madrid & VC have been pro-rata’d from Spain’s numbers):https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Healthcare_resource_statistics_-_beds#Hospital_bedsOther useful links to bookmark:https://xabiaaldia.com/https://www.spainenglish.com/coronavirus-spain/https://www.theleader.info/news/world/europe/spain/community-of-valencia/https://www.diarioinformacion.com/alicante/https://www.levante-emv.com/valencia/