Friday 26th February – update on COVID-19 growth trends The number of hospital admissions in Spain continues to fall. Likewise, in the UK, the rate of hospital admissions continues to fall rapidly.

The rate of hospital admissions in the Valencian Community continues to fall and its hospital bed occupancy for COVID patients has fallen to 9.26%, from 14.00% seven days ago; this is now lower than the average COVID bed occupancy for Spain, which is 9.67%, compared to 12.83% seven days ago.

Madrid has the highest COVID bed occupancy in Spain – despite this, its hospital bed occupancy is falling – 15.17% of hospital beds have COVID patients today, compared with 18.79% seven days ago.

Closer to home the GVA site reports that the fourteen-day rate for positive cases in Jávea has again fallen significantly this week. The GVA site reports 21 positive cases in the past two weeks, compared with 59, seven days ago; five weeks ago, the corresponding number was 288. Denia’s numbers are also falling rapidly – 29 positive cases in the past two weeks compared with 108, seven days ago.

The graphs for France, Italy and the Netherlands use Worldometer figures. The Worldometer numbers include both hospital new cases and community testing so they are showing a more pessimistic trend than what is actually happening with their hospital admissions.

The next post will be on Friday 5th March. Stay safe. John Wilson,

Data sources: Daily Spanish Government data is posted here: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/…/nCov-China/situacionActual.htmToday’s Spanish Govt. report here: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/…/Actualizacion_321_COVID-19.pdf GVA Valencian Community daily press releases here: https://www.gva.es/es/inicio/area_de_prensa GVA Valencian Community data dashboard:http://coronavirus.san.gva.es/es/estadisticas…Daily Spanish newspaper commentary: https://english.elpais.com/UK COVID-19 daily report: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare and https://beta.isdscotland.org/…/covid-19-statistical…/ Worldometer: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countriesBackground & explanation of what the “cases per 1000 beds” graphs mean:https://www.facebook.com/groups/jaspas/permalink/3112648712130524/Population, Eurostat:https://ec.europa.eu/…/Population_and_population_change…Population of Spain’s autonomous communities:https://www.statista.com/…/population-of-spain-by…/Hospital Beds, Eurostat (Madrid & VC have been pro-rata’d from Spain’s numbers):https://ec.europa.eu/…/Healthcare_resource_statistics…